Methodology and data sources

    Updated October 26, 2026

    This page documents how the UnionMetric Opportunity Zone site screen produces each result, which sources it uses, how current they are, and where its limits lie. Each readout repeats the sources and load dates that applied to it.

    Principles

    1. Primary sources for status. Designation status comes only from IRS, Treasury, CDFI Fund or state publications. Figures we could find only in secondary sources are labeled provisional.
    2. Point-level answers where they matter. The 2018 and 2027 maps use different census-tract vintages, so the screen tests the exact location wherever an address is available.
    3. Rules, not scores. The structure check applies cited rules. It does not grade feasibility, estimate value or predict returns.
    4. Dated everything. Each dataset carries its vintage and the date we loaded it.

    Data sources

    LayerSourceGeographyVintage / currency
    2018 Opportunity ZonesCDFI Fund designated-tract list and boundary file2010 census tractsDesignations of 2018 (list updated Dec 14, 2018)
    Rural 2018 zonesIRS Notice 2025-502010 census tractsSept 30, 2025 (3,309 tracts)
    2027 eligible tractsRev. Proc. 2026-14 appendix2020 census tractsApr 6, 2026; eligibility from 2020–2024 ACS 5-year data
    2027 entirely rural flagRev. Proc. 2026-14 appendix2020 census tractsApr 6, 2026 (8,334 tracts)
    2027 nominationsState publications only2020 census tractsAs published; checked weekly until certification
    2027 designationsIRS designation notice2020 census tractsExpected before Jan 1, 2027
    Alternate Framework additionsSecondary source (OpportunityZones.com)2020 census tractsProvisional until Treasury publishes
    New Markets Tax Credit low-income communitiesCDFI Fund 2016–2020 ACS file2020 census tractsUpdated Sept 9, 2026
    HUD Qualified Census Tracts, 2027HUD USER; FR 2026-203902020 census tractsEffective 2027
    HUD Difficult Development Areas, 2027HUD USERZIP Code Tabulation Areas (metro); counties (non-metro)Effective 2027
    State tax conformityState revenue departments and legislation; trackers labeled as leadsStateRe-verified monthly through Q1 2027
    Address matchingU.S. Census Geocoder (2020 census geography)Point to 2020 tractLive

    How status is determined

    At an address. The address is matched to a point and its 2020 census tract by the Census Geocoder. The point is tested against the 2018 zone boundaries in their native 2010-tract geometry. The 2020 tract supplies the 2027 status and the overlays. This is the authoritative mode.

    At a tract (map click). Without an exact point, 2018 status is estimated from the share of the 2020 tract's land area that lies inside 2018 zones, using the Census 2020-to-2010 tract relationship file. A tract counts as "in a 2018 zone" when at least half its land area overlaps. Where the overlap is partial, the readout says so and asks for an address.

    Connecticut. Data released from 2022 onward uses Connecticut's nine planning regions in place of its eight historical counties. All Connecticut identifiers are normalized to the 2020 geography before matching.

    Transition classes

    The 2018 status and the 2027 status combine into one of nine classes:

    • Retained (zone in both maps), or retained pending certification.
    • 2018 zone with an undecided 2027 status.
    • Losing (2018 zone not on the 2027 eligible list) or lost (2018 zone not designated).
    • New (new 2027 zone), or new pending certification.
    • Eligible only.
    • Not a zone.

    Classes that depend on the designated list change automatically when the IRS list is loaded. The consequences shown for each class follow Notice 2026-40 and Rev. Proc. 2026-14. They are date-aware: the wording changes after December 31, 2026 and after each map's end date.

    The structure check

    Flags are generated by explicit rules, each tied to a statute, regulation, IRS notice or SBA rule. The citation is shown with the flag. Severity follows a simple convention:

    • a blocker means the structure as described generally fails;
    • a caution means an issue that must be diligenced;
    • a note means context.

    Rules sourced only from secondary summaries are marked as such.

    Update schedule

    TriggerAction
    Weekly until Dec 28, 2026Re-check state nomination publications and Treasury and IRS pages
    IRS designated list publishedLoad the list; tracts not on it become "not designated"; classes and pages update
    Annual HUD QCT/DDA releaseReload overlays
    New ACS-based NMTC fileReload overlays
    State conformity legislationUpdate state profile and state pages

    Limitations

    • The screen depends on address matching. Rural routes, new construction and incomplete addresses may not match. The map click works without an address, at tract level.
    • Metro Difficult Development Areas are matched by ZIP code. That is an approximation of the ZIP Code Tabulation Area, and the readout labels it.
    • HUBZone and USDA rural eligibility are not computed. The readout links to the official SBA and USDA maps.
    • Status is not certification. Nominated tracts are contingent until Treasury certifies them.
    • No opinion. The screen is not tax, legal, credit or investment advice and is not a feasibility study.

    Corrections

    If a result appears wrong, send the address, the readout date and the source you are relying on to our research team through the contact page. We review every report against the primary source and correct the data and the readout where needed.

    Attribution

    This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau. Designation data are U.S. Government works published by the IRS, Treasury, the CDFI Fund and HUD.

    How we verify this page

    Author
    Robert Mitchell
    Updated
    October 26, 2026